Monday, April 7, 2014

And now for odds on potential Republican candidates


The boys in Vegas said it was no easy task to put together a list of potential Republican candidates, and actually chuckled over some of them.
Whoever chooses to run – and that may be enough to get the nomination – will be at a distinct enrollment disadvantage to whoever ends up being the Democratic Party nominee.
MCGRATH
Yes, voters in Troy have ousted entire slates of candidates because they didn’t like the way things were going, and while things are going close to that ouster threshold I’m not convinced they are there yet. Close, but not yet. The Democrats must be thinking along the same lines too since the party’s front man by default, Mayor Lou Rosamalia, just hired a new spokesman and you really don’t do that unless you feel the need to shake things up a bit.
Anyway, without further ado, according to Vegas, the odds on potential Republicans ending up being the candidate come November:
GORDON
-Mark McGrath, 5-1: The former eight-year councilman is probably the party’s strongest candidate given he won handily in a Democratic district four times thanks, in part, to pragmatism that crosses party lines. He also knows city government, has name recognition and will not have to give up a job or another elected office should he choose to run. That said, it will take a lot of convincing for him to throw his hat in the ring.
-Jim Gordon, 7-1: I think the first-term councilman is doing a decent job of being the loyal opposition for the minority caucus of two. He has decent name recognition but had a difficult time winning in the ‘Burgh until this time around when Kevin McGrath decided not to run. Since the Council is also up next November he would have to give up his seat to run for mayor if he chooses. I think he has his eye on it but it would be a risky move by him and the Republicans.  
MANTELLO
-Carmella Mantello, 9-1: The former councilwoman and former Council and mayoral candidate would likely want to give City Hall another run but don’t expect the GOP to be too keen on that idea. She is, however, a hard working candidate and is nearly guaranteed a respectable showing so if the Republicans decide to punt next year and concentrate on the Council, which is a possibility, she may get the nod by default.
-Dan Crawley, 10-1: The former deputy mayor and current executive secretary of the Troy Housing Authority would make a solid mayor but I don’t know if he has it in him to run a campaign as the front man. Furthermore, I don’t know if he wants to leave the cocoon that is THA and jump into the mainstream spotlight. But, his name has been floated and as I said, it wasn’t easy coming up with a list of potentials.

TUTUNJIAN
-Harry Tutunjian, 12-1: The former mayor and councilman would probably like another four years in office but he comes off two city wide losses for Legislature so for him to win this time around – during a presidential year when turnout is generally higher which means more Democrats at the polls in Troy – is a tough sell. Not that Tutunjian had a bad eight-year run as mayor, but if the GOP backs him this time you know there is nobody else.

TEDESCO
-John Tedesco, 15-1: I have no inside knowledge that the police chief would want to give up being police chief, move into the city and run for mayor but if he did he would make a pretty good candidate. Despite Rosamilia’s move appointing a police commissioner Tedesco came out looking pretty good in the end. Again, his name was floated to me so I included him.
-Debbie Witkowski, 15-1: The current comptroller at the Troy Housing Authority and former city comptroller would be a great candidate if they GOP can convince her to run, which is a longshot. She knows and respects the political game but under Democratic and Republican administrations in City Hall, and now at the THA, she has managed to stay above the fray. While she would be a solid candidate, I’d be surprised if the GOP convinced her to run.
 
-Richard “Buddy” McAvoy, 20-1: As I was tying this up someone pitched the deputy chief’s name and since candidates are scarce I figured I would throw it in. I learned too he was considered for sheriff before the party picked Jack Mahar so he has a political bent to him and unlike Tedesco he lives in the city. Outside of that, I really don’t know what else to say about him.

  

114 comments:

  1. I think Tedesco could even win... if he only lived in Troy.

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    1. Well, he owns a house in Troy, just has to move! My guess? At the Finish line by 10 lengths.

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    2. Well he owns a house in Troy, all he has to do is move in. My guess? At the Finish line by 10 lengths with the other ones laying dead on the Track from exhaustion!

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  2. McAvoy being named Chief would have prevented all of this mess in the TPD. He was never one to kiss anyone's ring, so he was passed over. Solid guy, impeccable reputation but not a kiss ass. Now we know why Tedesco was chosen.

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    1. Safe to assume above comment from somebody who doesn't know MacAvoy very well. He would float with either party although he's a Republican. Good cop, no loyalty.

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    2. McAvoy is the straight shooter and would be good in any capacity in Troy.

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  3. My man in Troy is Mark McGrath...

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    1. He won't sell downtown or on the East Side. They don't like angry little trolls. Ask Harry.

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  4. We all should take time to congratulate Commissioner Magnetto. His son(a Troy cop) and daughter in law(a Troy cop) just purchased a lovely home......in North Greenbush. Over one hundred thousand tax dollars leaving Troy.

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  5. In other words, they have nobody.

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    1. You're probably right the GOP has nobody. So lets stay the course with the incompetent thieves that are here now. Good move.

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    2. The fact that you can't find anyone decent to run against these "incompetent thieves" says a lot about your party and all the jerkoffs orbiting around it.

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  6. Jim Gordon isn't going to give up his hard won council seat to run for Mayor. He'd wet himself from the stress.

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    1. Tutunjian has the votes in this house. Our friends ask us what's happened to Troy in the past two year. We're getting tired of telling them it's because Harry's no longer in charge.

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    2. If Kevin McGrath decides to run next year Gordon might as well try for mayor, because he's going to need a job.

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    3. Good boy Jim. free coffee and a muffin in the morning.

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  7. I think they'll be stupid enough to run Tutunjian. Remember, they're hoping for a split vote on the D line between Rodney and Lou, or whoever Wade picks if Lou doesn't run. The Republicans might be just brain damaged enough to believe Harry could finally win.

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  8. When Rodney goes to sleep at night, he checks under the bed for Mark McGrath.

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    1. When Rodney goes to sleep at night in his bed, visions of a deserted fundraiser dance in his head.

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    2. Have heard stories that Mark may have slipped under other beds also. Run Mark Run and the truth will come out.

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    3. Can't wait to comb my beard, put on my birks and stop by bombers tonight for my $150 burrito. Hope I can sneak in the back to avoid paying. I might even wash my hands.

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    4. There was over 100 people who showed at Rodney's ridiculous burrito fundraiser. I'm thinking that the dems should be scuuuured...very scuuuuured.

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    5. You must be cross eyed or to many tequilas

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    6. 100 people if you count everyone in the restaurant and bar, staff, and the 12 homeless people Rodney dragged in an hour before it started. Lol!

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    7. I didn't think Aldrich could count to 100. The real unexaggerated count is 25--usual suspects who can't or won't pay. predictably, a real flop but consistent with the image of its honoree.

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    8. You dems keep telling yourself that no one showed up to the fundraiser...the proof is in the pudding. When you see his filing you will be embarrassed. He raised almost $10000 at that fundraiser....does anything else matter?? It surely doesn't>

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    9. Its hilarious how the amount Rodney allegedly raised keeps getting higher and higher. I heard he raised $50,000, most of it in the form of recyclable Genny light cans.

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  9. Is the first pihoto a recent piic of Putin

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    1. Wish that first guy was there now. Got a feeling Dunne would be thrown out and you would find people actually at their desks in city floor.

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  10. No one is worried about Mark McGrath, or any of the potential Republican candidates. You clowns have no one decent to run, and you know it. We all know it.

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    1. If Wiltshire is the dem candidate then McGrath beats him. A lot of Wade dems like McGrath and after what Rodney did to Lou they would never vote for him.

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    2. Mark's family has been doing some overtime on the blogs lately. Newsflash: No Dems like McGrath. Carmella has a better chance of Dem support than Mark does.

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    3. Your fear of Mark running for mayor is palpable.

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    4. Hell no, bring it on! I admit he's not as beatable as Harry, but it's close enough. I just think it's funny that anyone is taking him seriously as a candidate.

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    5. That's coming from a party that has Crazzy uncle Boob in it

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    6. just saw a face book picture of McGrath and family in Virginia. What he going to do administer from there? Collect another check? This attack on the current administration is the same republican hate used by Mirch and Crist for years. When will you wake up and realize it's time to go.

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    7. It appears that Mark McGrath took a family vacation before he puts his name in for mayor. It's time.

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    8. He can be mayor from there and Fitzy can run the PBA from there Troy still wins.

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  11. What No Crack Pipe

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  12. Jay vandenburgh. 7-1 odds He can do it. He cleaned up tha. Now he can finish FBI investigation and turn this city back to the former glory under Harry's reign. He will choose bobby cox as a deputy

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  13. Cox clan for mayor. Towing commissioner. Tree commissioner. Vintage denim commissioner. Property maintenance skills land developments skills pulic speaking skills. The cox clan has it alll

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  14. Bob Doherty is a good pubic speaker

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    1. You have got to be kidding me, right?? That man could bore anyone to sleep with his endless drivel. Zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz

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    2. Pubic. Key word

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  15. Word is a new complaint against bill dunne will be lodged next. week gonna be a bombshell

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  16. Rodney did the same thing that Gordon, Bodner, and Zalewski did. Vote against a bad and flawed deal and process. But why is he always being attached on it. He is not being attacked buy the republicans who knew Scolite was a problem but by democrats who were bought and sold by Valenti and the crew. FBI is not done. Let us see how far their reach goes into the democratic party.

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    1. He's being attacked because anyone who attended the council meeting and is even semi-awake in Troy knows that Rodney forced the Scolite vote to embarrass the administration. Everyone else was pushing him to table it, including the Republicans. Now, read that last sentence again because it's important. EVERYONE else was pushing him to table it, including the Republicans. Everyone agreed there were more questions that needed to be answered. But our friend Rodney refused to table it. There was no reason at all that the resolution could not have been tabled and revisited later. Everyone agreed the Valente proposal could have ended up being the best proposal for Troy. Everyone agreed it could have been a great deal for the city. It was just too soon to vote.

      But hey, if Rodney had a reason to force that "no" vote vs. tabling it, let's hear it. I think the taxpayers of Troy would love to know why a councilman who just voted for $25M of borrowing (requiring a tax increase) would torpedo a big private development project that would bring major revenue into the city. So we're all ears, Rodney. Tell us.

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    2. Rodney looked at the deal for what it was shity! Now get over it! Lou, Pete and Dunne put a bad deal forward and now they will pay for it

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    3. For the city to sell Scolight they would need to replace 5.4 acres of land to satisfy the state of New York. If there was 5.4 acres of land in the city that fat ass from the Burgh would already have built those shity little houses on those shity little lots.

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    4. Wrong. Read the Bill, dumbass.

      P.S. Rodney didn't reject the sale on those grounds anyway. Do you want to try again?

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    5. @ 2:19
      Apparently Mike Morris is now on the blogs. You should be careful with your words Mike, your prized 3 amigos (Kopa Teta and Galumpski) all voted to borrow the money as well. If "your" administration and "Dunne Nothing" had actually put together a good deal it would have passed. The truth is....the entire council (with the exception of Doherty) all knew it was a bad deal you 3 amigos only voted for it to not embarrass the mayor instead of looking out for the tax payers...bs political move.

      I was at the Osgood meeting last night and they were glowing with praise for Rodney and Ken for voting against this project....where were lynn and gary? hiding with their tail between their legs because they just pissed off their own districts and couldn't take the heat.

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    6. Lynn is very dishonest

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    7. You're clueless and you apparently weren't at the meeting. Not one of your counter chumps said it was a "bad deal", including Rodney. If they thought it was a bad deal, why not say so before voting it down? They couldn't, because they had no basis to say so.

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    8. Ken Zalewski is the epitome of a political whore. He'd vote to sink all of Lansingburgh into the Hudson River if his constituents wanted it.

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  17. Odds 3 - 1 Ryan voluntarily leaves the administration in the next 3 months and 1 -3 odds that Dunne gets fired in the next three months. Takers?

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  18. How can you omit Wiltsheer or Zalooski from the Republican list ? Both of them believe they are political nirvana and would welcome a Republican endorsement just as they did last year when cutting deals with Crist. They act like Republicans since january 1.

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    1. Republican, Democrat, doesn't matter. The citizens of Troy would rather throw themselves over the broken sea wall than endure four more years of Ken's pedantic bullshit.

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    2. Still waiting for his time aged Time Warner agreement

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    3. It's too funny what the dems will say to oust Wiltshire. It's pathetic. I think someone drank the Tom Wade Kool-Aid. Wiltshire may not be the best legislator this city has ever seen....but he is certainly the best politician this city has ever seen and the proof is in the pudding....lol.....Wade can't take him out. It's hilarious!

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    4. Who wants to take him out? Keep him in and let him destroy himself. We're just laughing and enjoying the show.

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  19. What about Rabbit, he's in city hall more than the mayor and the deputy mayor.

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    1. Maybe he has a vested interest inside city hall. Or maybe city hall is a good place to hang out for a busy body with nothing to do.

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  20. where's Kareen Jandali -- he has said on numberous occassions he running???

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    1. his suit jackets look like he shot a couch.

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    2. Bet he looks good in a skirt

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  21. Didnt see Jim Gordon at Burgh Boys and Girls club dinner in District 1. Kathy Jimino was there for a long time talking to people.

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    1. He had to get home to the kids

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    2. Kathy Jimino is all over. She's tireless in attending events. She must look forward to spending some time at home.

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    3. Jim got confused and went to the Lansingburgh Baby Mamas Club instead.

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  22. Mark McGrath is already Drawing 72 thousand dollars a year from the Comptrollers office retirement plus what ever he gets from 8 years on the tit from Troy City Council.
    He is always sniffing around City Hall looking for more cash.
    What Peter don't hang out with him any more did Peter smell something moldy or unsavory.
    Time waits for no one soon things will all come out and the truth will suffer no more.

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    1. Peter smells something? That smell is you Peter or brill cream the FBI agents are wearing. I believe that Lou is also collecting a pension. As far as that truth will come out that's the Bull sh+t line left over from voter fraud.

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    2. But who's a better leader Mark or Lou?

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    3. Hands down Mark McGrath by far.

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    4. Pete smells Clem as Deputy Mayor when Rodney's Mayor. Back to selling pens and pencils.

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    5. Don't know which is more comical: Clem administering anything or Rodney in a job requiring full time attention. Is there a building in Troy large enough to accommodate Rodney's ego ?

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    6. Yes there is a building large enough it's at the top of red rock road the one with the nimo truck and the for sale sign.

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    7. Keep dreaming, Vito. Maybe someday you'll be important.

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  23. How about the odds on how many will show for Mr. Wiltshire's caviar burrito fundraiser tonight? Will everyone gather around a Waterford crystal margarita glass and sip Dom Perignon through tightly rolled hundred dollar bills? Will Rodney's crew take a shower for the occasion, and eat with utensils? I hope someone takes pictures.

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    1. The crew was there tonight. Nice to see Kevin Mcgrath got the night off from his job to attend along with Clem, Martiniano and the Cox family. And they actually say "let's clean up troy"?

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    2. I heard Rodney frantically sent out a second round of invites after realizing there'd be low turnout. New pricing: $30 for WFP folks, $25 for felons and $15 if you brought in a Jack McCann voodoo doll. By 7 p.m., pretty much anyone able to breathe through their nose and hold a pen at the same time was able to get in.

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    3. UPDATE....Rodney was GIVING tickets away (as in FREE ADMISSION) in a desperate attempt to draw a crowd on the afternoon of his Bombers bomb.
      That's a big drop from $150 per person and speaks volumes about his perceived popularity.

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    4. he made over 6000$....yeah he was pretty desperate lol....effing fools you all are

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    5. Did he pay himself back for the $6000 loan he gave himself? And where did he get the $6000 that he gave to his campaign? SEIU? Sarah, can you answer? Are there receipts? When your dishonest and believe you are above it ....you are still dishonest.

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    6. He was absolutely not paying himself back the $6000 he gave to the campaign, from what I am told he still had outstanding debt from last year. It should be on the July filing, not sure anyone will know before then. The $6000 he gave to the campaign came out of his own pocket, he still has a successful solar business (just because the doors to the store front are closed does not mean he isn't still successful, just has no use for the store front). From the previous filing, SEIU did give him money and yes the receipts are all in the filing and it is all legal. Their is nothing dishonest about his filings...you can keep trying to dig, but their is no improprieties there....trust me, ive tried to find them.

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    7. Thanks for clarifying, Jolene

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    8. Lookin good Jolene!

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  24. Vito spend the day in albany trying to book Paul McCartney for his uncle same jam. Will schedule the even around paul. He will still showcase al Bruno tho he will also hire bobby cox to clean the garbage ad empty the porta potties

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    1. Hey, why wasn't Vito mentioned for mayor? I thought he was such a hot shot in the burgh. Don't worry Vito, maybe Kevin Mcgrath will let you take the D1 council seat out for a little spin after Jim drops out from the stress.

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    2. Why didn't Kevin run for his seat again? Looooser

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    3. Oh, I think we all know why.

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  25. Monica in latham all day lobbying for a super walmart on the Scolitr site. Vic would have gotten it. Will she?

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  26. Sheerans hightops are so powerful when he estimates a roof in brunswick and walks down the street water mains break

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  27. It's been over a week now that it was reported the FBI was looking into city hall. Hear something bad is about to break. Lou should call every day smile-..... for they won't be smiling when the shoe drops.

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  28. Vito has and will be scrubbing garbage cans for Murphy and he will be Murphy s lackey till he dries up and blows away.
    Also Vito keeps sucking the life out of Uncle Sams Memory and his legacy.

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    1. Murphy and Vito are success stories in Troy unlike the sewer rat family.By the way that burned out eyesore on 112th street is looking better and better each day. A real testament to the partnership of our mayor Lou and the Cox family.

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    2. Vito is a wannabe player. Sad

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  29. X Junkies Rule up in the burgh soon there livers will all quit working.

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  30. Mayor Latunjin was a great mayor should next election

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  31. GORDON was good for nothing.

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  32. Mark McGrath is quite the fashion plate as usual. Is that a Polo shirt he's pairing with the jorts? Looks great with those Top Gun shades. He's still the dreamiest McGrath.

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    1. and they're both felons

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    2. Kevin begs to differ. He wants everyone to know he was asked to be the next worldwide Calvin Klein model, but unfortunately his duties at National Grid keep him too busy to do it.

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    3. Harry's crew coming after Mark McGrath, the assault has started. They're as scared as the dems.

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    4. that's a joke right!

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    5. Harry would make a better mayor than he was the first time around. We need someone with integrity like him.

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    6. You must be new to Troy. "Harry" and "integrity" don't belong in the same sentence.

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    7. Give up obsessing about harry please dunne

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    8. @12:53 too funny, Kevin will probably read it and believe it

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  33. That picture of McGrath looks like heino

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  34. What's a "heino"?

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    1. hahahahaa now that's funny.

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    2. Heino or touch hole

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